Sunday, October 31, 2021

CRT -- October 31, 2021

 Link here: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ibram-x-kendi-tweets-then-deletes-tweet-study-undermining-white-privilege-narrative.

Author and prominent critical race theory

advocate Ibram X. Kendi has deleted a tweet after critics argued it undermined the racial narrative upon which he’s built his career. 

Kendi, a humanities professor at Boston University, tweeted an article Friday by The Hill citing a study that found 34% of White students who applied to colleges and universities falsely claimed they were a racial minority on their application and that 77% of them were accepted.

Kendi summarized on Twitter: "More than a third of White students lied about their race on college applications, and about half of these applicants lied about being Native American. More than three-fourths of these students who lied about their race were accepted."

Kendi’s critics pounced on the tweet, saying it undermined his life’s work. The Post Millennial, which first reported the tweet, asked, "If white privilege is such a decisive factor, then why do white students feel that their applications would do better if they pretended to be something other than white, and why would those applications be so successful?"

 

Monday, October 25, 2021

Covid-19 And Venn Diagrams -- October 25, 2021

Updates

November 22, 2021: this is so incredibly cool. The Venn diagram has crystallized a bit further. Three circles that do not overlap with regard to Covid-19:

  • scientific
  • investing
  • emotional (includes "political," talking heads, even those with science backgrounds; also "irrational")

It's difficult to figure out in which circle one places Dr Fauci, for example. Dr Fauci would argue he's in the scientific circle, whereas his detractors would place him in the "emotional" or "political" circle.

Over the weekend, many readers sent me the mRNA (Moderna) - myocarditis association study. I believe the article was linked at The Drudge Report; otherwise it was hard to find. I was unable to find any "investing" stories over the weekend regarding Moderna put in a bad light. This morning Moderna (MRNA) surges on the stock market. Corroborates my "Venn diagram" conceptualization.

Original Post

Just so you all know where I stand at the moment on Covid. This was in reply to a reader who sent me an interesting article on Covid in Ireland:

This takes me back to my days in pediatrics with regard to immunizations.  I think I might have mentioned that --- a Venn diagram -- pediatricians were in the "science" circle; parents were in the "emotional" circle; and schools were in the "administrative" circle.

In a Venn diagram, the circles were all supposed to overlap and some "common ground" was found. But over time, the circles moved farther apart and everyone stayed in whatever circle they started in or belonged to. Parents selected what vaccines (if any) their kids would get; schools did their thing; and pediatricians broke up into two groups ... those who maintained some semblance of integrity and kept to the science; others, just let the parents decide. The former (those who tried to remain some semblance of integrity) remained pompous and became very bitter, angry, frustrated, and refused to go out for a beer on Friday night; the latter (those who no longer cared, LOL) looked forward to a Michelob weekend.  I was in the latter group and absolutely enjoyed my time in the Air Force.

The same thing has happened to Covid. At the end of the day, we all have our own thoughts on the subject and probably no one is going to move much. Whatever circle we are in, that's where we will stay: the mask/no mask circle; the vaccine/no vaccine circle; the herd immunity works/herd immunity doesn't work circle; etc.

I still follow certain metrics but not much any more. The whole thing has become incredibly absurd. Tomorrow I will be on a plane, admonished over and over to wear a mask or risk going to jail or worse, being put on the no-fly list, and tonight I'm watching 100,000 unmasked fans in a stadium watching the New Orleans Saints play the Seattle Seahawks. [Oh, the craziness -- a close up of the NFL Saints cheerleaders -- wearing masks. Why? No one else is.]

By the way, speaking of wearing a mask in the airport, those who really refuse to wear masks, will wear a mask around their neck and then walk through the airport with a huge bowl of stir-fry and eat noodles and rice with chopsticks. They have learned to check all their baggage so as to leave both hands free.

For me personally, I carry my mask and wear it on my neck and put it on whenever it seems the "socially-accepted" thing to do, like going into Walgreens to pick up some photos. I particularly enjoyed visiting our granddaughter in Nashville, TN, some weeks ago where no one wears a mask and I wore my mask everywhere. Just to drive them nuts. Oh, I forgot, that's right -- on campus everyone was supposed to wear a mask; off campus no one wore a mask. The virus apparently stopped at the street separating the campus from the rest of the city.

I will get a booster every four to six months. Even though the rules say just one booster at six months, my hunch is that the pharmacy tech at the grocery store no longer really cares who gets what when. I don't know whether the vaccine will make any difference but like the folks who aspire to visit every Starbucks in the Lower 48, I'm going to see how many boosters I can get.

I'm hoping the WSJ will interview me.

Thursday, October 21, 2021

The Donald, Nothing More, by Joe Biden

Donald, Nothing More
By Joe Biden


Once upon a midnight dreary, while I pondered, weak and weary,

Over many a quaint and curious volume of forgotten lore —
While I nodded, nearly napping, rapping at my chamber door.

“Tis some visitor,” I muttered, “tapping at my chamber door —

Only this and nothing more.

Ah, distinctly I remember it was in the bleak December;

And that was twenty-twenty, more than a year before,
Eagerly, I wished the morrow; — vainly I had sought to borrow

From my books surcease of sorrow — sorrow for the lost Algore

Whose climate warnings were so much better than Fauci lore

Nameless here for evermore.

And the silken, sad, uncertain rustling of each purple curtain

Thrill me — filled with fantastic terrors never felt before;

So that now, to still the beating of my heart, I stood repeating
“Tis some visitor entreating entrance at my chamber door —
Some late visitor entreating entrance as my chamber door; —
This is it, Covid, nothing more.”

Presently my soul grew stronger; hesitating then no longer,

“Sir,” said I, “or Madam, truly your forgiveness I implore;

But the fact I was napping, and so gently you were rapping, 

And so faintly you came tapping, tapping at my chamber door,

That I scarce was sure I heard you — here I opened wide the door; —
Covid there and nothing more.

Deep into that darkness peering, long I stood there wondering, fearing,
Doubting, dreaming dreams no mortal ever dared to dream before;
    But the silence was unbroken, and the stillness gave no token,
    And the only words there spoken was the whispered words, “Fauci lore?”
This I whispered, and an echo murmured back the word, “Fauci lore!”—
            Merely this and nothing more.

Back into the chamber turning, all my soul within me burning,
Soon again I heard a tapping somewhat louder than before.
    “Surely,” said I, “surely that is something at my window lattice;
      Let me see, then, what thereat is, and this mystery explore—
Let my heart be still a moment and this mystery explore;—
            ’Tis Fauci lore and nothing more!”

Open here I flung the shutter, when, with many a flirt and flutter,
In there stepped a stately ghost of the saintly days of yore;
    Not the least obeisance made he; not a minute stopped or stayed he;
    But, with mien of lord or lady, moved above my chamber door—
Strutting upon a bust of Phallas just above my chamber door—
            Orange, and sat, and nothing more.

Then this Trumpian ghost beguiling my sad fancy into smiling,
By the grave and stern decorum of the countenance it wore,
“Though thy crest be long and golden, thou,” I said, “art sure no craven,
Ghastly grim and ancient ghost wandering from the Nightly shore—
Tell me what thy lordly name is on the Night’s Mar a Largo shore!”
            Quoth the spectre, “Donald, nothing more.”

Much I marvelled this towering specter to hear discourse so plainly,
Though its answer little meaning—little relevancy bore;
    For we cannot help agreeing that no living human being
    Ever yet was blessed with seeing Don above his chamber door—
The orange man upon the sculptured bust above his chamber door,
            With such name as “Donald, nothing more.”

But the orange man, sitting lonely on the placid bust, spoke only
That one word, as if his soul in that one word he did outpour.
    Nothing farther then he uttered—not a word then he uttered—
    Till I scarcely more than muttered “Other friends have gone before—
On the morrow he will leave me, as my Hopes have gone before.”
            Then the ghost said “Donald, nothing more.”

 Startled at the stillness broken by reply so aptly spoken,
“Doubtless,” said I, “what it utters is its only stock and store
    Caught from some unhappy master whom unmerciful Disaster
    Followed fast and followed faster till his songs one burden bore—
Till the dirges of his Hope that melancholy burden bore
            Of “Donald — nothing more.”

But the orange man still beguiling all my fancy into smiling,
Straight I wheeled a cushioned seat before the spectre, and bust and door;
    Then, upon the velvet sinking, I betook myself to linking
    Fancy unto fancy, thinking what this ominous man of yore—
What this grim, ungainly, ghastly, gaunt, and ominous man of yore
            Meant in croaking “Donald, nothing more.”

This I sat engaged in guessing, but no syllable expressing
To the man whose fiery eyes now burned into my bosom’s core;
    This and more I sat divining, with my head at ease reclining
    On the cushion’s velvet lining that the lamp-light gloated o’er,
But whose velvet-violet lining with the lamp-light gloating o’er,
            He shall press, ah, nevermore!

Then, methought, the air grew denser, perfumed from an unseen censer
Swung by Pelosi whose foot-falls tinkled on the tufted floor.
    “Wretch,” I cried, “thy God hath lent thee—by these angels he hath sent thee
    Respite—respite and nepenthe from thy memories of Algore;
Quaff, oh quaff this kind nepenthe and forget this lost Algore!”
            Quoth the spectre, “Donald, nothing more.”

“Prophet!” said I, “thing of doom!—prophet still, if man or ghost!—
Whether Melania sent, or whether Ted Cruz tossed thee here ashore,
    Desolate yet all undaunted, on this desert land enchanted—
    On this home by Horror haunted—tell me truly, I implore—
Is there—is there balm in Wash, DC?—tell me—tell me, I implore!”
            Quoth the spectre, “Donald, nothing more.”

“Prophet!” said I, “thing of hope!—prophet still, if man or ghost!
By that Heaven that bends above us—by that God we both adore—
    Tell this soul with sorrow laden if, within the distant holy book,
    It shall clasp a Nobeled man whom all Stockholm name Algore —
Clasp a rare and radiant laurete whom the angels name Algore.”
            Quoth the spectre “Donald, nothing more.”

“Be that word our sign of parting, man or ghost!” I shrieked, upstarting—
“Get thee back into the Tower or the Mar a Largo shore!
    Leave no orange plume as a token of that lie thy soul hath spoken!
    Leave my loneliness unbroken!—quit the bust above my door!
Take thy word from out my heart, and take thy form from off my door!”
            Quoth the spectre “Donald, nothing more.”
 

And the spectre, never moving, still is sitting, still is sitting
On the pallid bust of Phallas just above my chamber door;
    And his eyes have all the seeming of a demon’s that is dreaming,
    And the lamp-light o’er him streaming throws his shadow on the floor;
And my soul from out that shadow that lies floating on the floor
            Shall be lifted—Donald, nothing more!

Monday, October 18, 2021

Can It Get Any Better Than This? October 18, 2021

 

Apple special event.

Lox on a bagel.

12-year-old Scotch.

******************************


Opening: amazing.

Music and the Mac.

Begin with music.

I have Amazon music. I will probably keep it but will eventually add Apple music.

Alexa / Amazon.

Siri / Apple.

New subscription plan: Voice Plan
$4.99 / month

Gradually, gradually, gradually -- I'm moving from Alexa / Amazon / music to Apple / Homepod / music.

I might start with Sophia's unicorn cave.

At beginning of event:

  • AAPL: up nineteen cents; trading at $145.03.

Music? Apple needs to mention Lana Del Rey.

Transition to Apple Silicon.

MacBook Pro: M1 Pro chip.

33.7 billion transistors. Double the M1.

And now, Apple introduces a second chip, the M1 Max.

57 billion transistors. Holy mackerel.

AOC says this is so powerful, NASA can use an M1 Max system to land an astronaut on the sun, even more incredible than landing a man on the moon.

It appears some of these Apple presenters are getting thinner.

The MacBook Pro

Wow, look at all the input ports.

16" and for first time, 14" model.

50% more air movement. The two fans are seldom needed.

16": 4.7 pounds; 16.8 mm thick

14": 3.5 pounds; 15.5 mm thick

Old keyboard brought back!

Lots of ports:

  • one side
    • HDMI
    • Thunderbolt 4.0.
    • SD disk
  • other side:
    • Magsafe!
    • Two thunderbolt ports
    • headphone jack

This is really amazing. Apple listened to its users. We've never seen this before.

It looks like the notch is there, but the displays are bigger.

Display: same technology as the iPad Pro.

The presentation is moving much more quickly than previous presentations. 

Great presentation.

What's AAPL doing?

Wow, wow, wow -- someone is paying attention -- AAPL up $1.10. I've never seen this before.

It's going to take a lot of time to go through this presentation again, but bottom line -- the gap widened between Apple and anything else.

Can't wait to see the prices.

Battery life.

  • 14": 17 hours of video playback; an addition 7 hours of video playback battery life;
  • 16": 21 hours of video playback; that's 10 additional hours of video playback based on a single charge; if you need more than 21 hours, you need a life;
  • longest battery life of any MacBook Pro.

New term: unified memory. Up to 64 GB.

Prices?

  • $1999
  • $2499
  • silver and space grey
  • order today; available next week

AAPL: up $1.02.

CNBC: now updating the event.

bottom line:

  • inside: so incredibly only engineers know what this all means
  • outside: magsafe; all those new ports -- wow

Expensive machines.

Over time, this technology will make its way into the entire Apple line. This is a five-year pipeline.

Shares popped.

Not seen before. 

Analyst after presentation, AAPL:

  • revenue will grow 24% this year; 9% next year
  • price target: $200

Friday, October 15, 2021

Personal Transportation Costs -- October 15, 2021

This is the only automobile I drive. 

I took one or two cross-country trips in calendar year 2021. Generally, I rent a car when traveling cross-country.

My wife drives her own car. I don't track her mileage; I assume it's about twice my mileage and mpg is probably about 75% of mine. 

2012 Honda Civic, bought December, 2011:

Date

Mileage

Gallons

Price/Gallon

Total Price

Miles Driven

MPG

Cost Per Mile

3 Dec 20

117,772

8.20

1.88

15.38

176

21.46

0.09

13 Jan 21

117,969

7.10

2.19

16.92

197

27.75

0.09

2 Feb 21

118,165

8.38

1.97

14.53

196

23.39

0.07

15 Feb 21

118,270

4.90

2.29

11.85

105

21.43

0.11

23 Feb 21

118,468

5.90

2.37

13.95

198

33.56

0.07

5 Mar 21

118,632

7.30

2.49

18.10

164

22.47

0.11

26 Mar 21

118,857

8.97

2.47

22.14

225

25.08

0.10

11 Apr 21

119,089

9.80

2.24

21.89

232

23.67

0.09

27 Apr 21

119,342

8.80

2.50

21.88

253

28.75

0.09

10 May 21

119,555

7.80

2.63

20.62

213

27.31

0.10

19 May 21

119,811

8.83

2.75

24.26

256

29.01

0.09

7 Jun 21

120,018

6.81

2.52

17.16

207

30.40

0.08

17 Jul 21

120,296

9.13

2.69

24.54

278

30.46

0.09

23 Sep 21

120,574

9.40

2.90

27.26

278

29.57

0.10

14 Oct 21

120,815

8.15

2.90

23.62

241

29.59

0.10






 

 

 

Total for 2021 to date


111.26


278.72

3,043

29.59

0.09

Bats -- Corona Virus -- October 15, 2021

Bats: it's too bad this disappeared behind a paywall. I was able to read it last night; but now behind a paywall. Great article on bats and corona viruses. Link here.  

Nature has the article, but a bit more "difficult" to read, though this is pretty straightforward, written for an eighth-grader: The discovery of RaTG13 bat coronavirus in China suggested a high probability of a bat origin. 

I guess one can read tweets or read Nature. I know where the Reddit crowd is headed. LOL.

 

 

Among the many questions unanswered for the COVID-19 pandemic are the origin of SARS-CoV-2 and the potential role of intermediate animal host(s) in the early animal-to-human transmission. The discovery of RaTG13 bat coronavirus in China suggested a high probability of a bat origin. Here we report molecular and serological evidence of SARS-CoV-2 related coronaviruses (SC2r-CoVs) actively circulating in bats in Southeast Asia. Whole genome sequences were obtained from five independent bats (Rhinolophus acuminatus) in a Thai cave yielding a single isolate (named RacCS203) which is most related to the RmYN02 isolate found in Rhinolophus malayanus in Yunnan, China. SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies were also detected in bats of the same colony and in a pangolin at a wildlife checkpoint in Southern Thailand. Antisera raised against the receptor binding domain (RBD) of RmYN02 was able to cross-neutralize SARS-CoV-2 despite the fact that the RBD of RacCS203 or RmYN02 failed to bind ACE2. Although the origin of the virus remains unresolved, our study extended the geographic distribution of genetically diverse SC2r-CoVs from Japan and China to Thailand over a 4800-km range. Cross-border surveillance is urgently needed to find the immediate progenitor virus of SARS-CoV-2.

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Thixotropic -- October 12, 2021

 

Learn new words
Keep on thinking
Better that than
lots of drinking

Survival skills
for hike and airport
Vicarious learning 
for this old sort

Sat on the floor
with my computer
Saw that quicksand
could not be cuter

From afar 
and now I know
a place that Brandon
ought to go.

Tuesday, October 5, 2021

Technology: Two Clicks Is All It Took -- October 5, 2021

Technology: scary. How good it is.

I mentioned the other day that I traveled over the weekend. During that trip, I met a number of folks, of course, but I happened to meet a most interesting woman whose son was enrolled at a very, very prestigious school. We talked for several hours on Saturday and then again our paths crossed again -- completely unplanned -- and we talked again for another couple of hours. Her son stopped by briefly and the three of us enjoyed the conversation. I only knew her first name, Susan. I also knew her son's name. And that was it. We did not provide last names, we did not exchange telephone numbers or addresses or any other identifying data. 

Today, with one click -- seriously, one click -- but with very specific information into google, her son's "Linked In" account popped up. It included a photograph so I knew I had the right individual. From there I had the last name of the family. With one more click -- again, very specific information into google, and I found this woman's address.

Two clicks, that's all it took.


Saturday, October 2, 2021

Cathie Wood Fights For Relevancy -- October 2, 2021

Talk about chickens coming home to roost. 

Cathie Wood. her Hemi is one cylinder short. She's playing with a 51-card deck. She's a French fry short of a Happy Meal. 

Atrociously poor analysis by Cathie Wood.